' u9 [( A o( m7 z" C( x8 k然而，當權派對付社會的民主訴求的最宏觀策略是什麼呢？現在回顧，看得比較清楚了，是一個分兩招的策略。 7 R- u. v+ j0 S2 Q% ~5.39.217.77:8898 ( n& B. K% H# r第一招：推「小圈子真普選」魚目混珠。十年之前，社會對落實普選的要求開始迫切，特府內外的喉舌卻異口同聲以「民主不等於一人一票」為藉口百般推搪，一直拖到梁特上台之後賴不掉了，便曲解《基本法》、炮製假普選，由特首領唱「符合人大常委意思的就是民主真普選」。公仔箱論壇( C7 d1 ]0 b# @2 d
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第二招：以人大常委8．31決議為武器，使出「雙離間」。此即封殺溫和派、迫使激進路線抬頭，離間兩派，然後再藉機離間激進派與中間群眾。魚目混珠的偽普選推出後，當權派悍然否決各民主派提出的政改議案之餘，同時蓄意百分之百拒絕社會上所有稍微包含民主因素的政改提議（哪怕是一些由「自己友」提出的符合8．31決議的），面對幾十萬人參與的佔領運動只會施暴毫不妥協，繼而聲稱政府方案「一個標點不能改」、「8．31框架無限期有效」，造成泛民各黨派 完全失敗、激進路線抬頭的局面，然後利用中間及淺黃群眾一向怕事、安分平和的特性，割斷這些人一直以來傾向民主的政治取態，再輔之以不斷由大陸對香港殖民的辦法，最終扭轉長期以來港人投票行為裏的「64黃金分割」律。公仔箱論壇1 r6 L, f. d Y; K& g A) D
" \: I0 C, x" e# u 拘捕過程疑點甚多) N/ R4 V2 m4 D5 Q: c
4 p3 b) g# p2 J2 L H7 t/ x3 ]0 W公仔箱論壇京港當權派不可能不知道，一旦泛民溫和路線證實無效，激進思潮勢必應運而生，但激進操盤者特別容易犯各種技術錯誤，嚇怕中間及淺黃群眾，這個死穴當權派當然懂得利用。本周初發生的抓捕「全國獨立黨」事件，便有可能是一齣「被導演」的戲。此事除了媒體報道過的甚多可疑之處之外，全部10多名涉案者非常 平和毫不反抗地被捕的過程就更加離奇。試想，一批擁有各種武器、做好了炸彈並處心積慮要向敵人丟的死士，據報遭警方逮捕的時候，只是目露兇光喃喃自語說聲「憎死黑警、民主萬歲」便乖乖就擒，教人覺得不合乎常理【註1】。% M. X$ o$ p% E/ P% |
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。; s/ f2 i# r: \' V0 {/ _* D( o
然而，當權派封殺溫和派，迫使激進路線抬頭， 很可能是逼虎跳牆，產生更大的反對能量，原因有兩個。5.39.217.77:88989 k; u. B# U% z+ k7 k" g
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2015-6-18 12:07 PM 編輯 5.39.217.77:8898$ A1 r% P+ c. m/ p; Y4 s
公仔箱論壇4 k6 t; t+ j2 g, p TIME: Is There Really a Shadowy Separatist Group Planning to Set Off Bombs in Hong Kong?# ~# b9 q1 u" [3 M* n# j
2 H0 n, P5 ]. S6 E' t2 R4 ctvb now,tvbnow,bttvb公仔箱論壇# @. X2 E3 m4 V0 S, Q6 P7 P Pro-democracy figures suspect the arrest of10 people on suspicion of plotting attacks is a smear campaign5.39.217.77:8898/ O c e# c; _& O
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One of the student leaders at the heart of Hong Kong’s pro-democracy movement has dismissed as “propaganda” the arrest of10 people on suspicion of plotting a bomb attack before the territory’s legislature prepares to vote on a crucial political-reform bill. 9 P; V7 K# r6 V# l% g4 ]) ^tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ _! a! z* [. z2 a( J
Joshua Wong, who played a leading role in last fall’s Umbrella Revolution, tells TIME that police claims to have uncovered a separatist cell intent on setting off explosives are “one of the plans or the agenda by the pro-government side — it’s propaganda to attack the… democrats.”TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。; f3 E G2 e! s* b+ C5 ^
6 _ w$ Q' X" m$ y: m& {& bThe arrests were made after police found what they described as powerful explosives at disused TV studio lots on the outskirts of the city, which they suggest were intended for detonation in the city’s Admiralty district. Admiralty is the seat of government, home to the legislature, the headquarters of the People’s Liberation Army and the office of the city’s highest-ranking official, known as the chief executive.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。' D5 ?* v) X5 j" }" Z V
! u8 r$ w# q- w L7 uA police media spokesman refused to divulge the political affiliations of those arrested, but a local newspaper, the South China Morning Post, citing an anonymous police source, claimed that at least one of the detained individuals had “affiliations” to a separatist, so-called National Independent Party.5.39.217.77:88989 \7 U3 B3 m3 c3 ` K, R
a1 @. [4 \8 m. O) F5.39.217.77:8898Another local newspaper claimed that the party had posted on a now deleted Facebook page its determination to stop the passage of the political reform bill “at any cost.” 2 z2 o* J; V% l9 \tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb . K+ q) L+ R- mSeparatist — or, to use the Hong Kong term, localist — politics are beginning to take root in the city as Hong Kongers feel a growing cultural, linguistic and political gap with mainland China. $ @! B/ J3 l k& f" U8 c5.39.217.77:88980 ~, [5 S& {) Y6 L5 i0 e
However, the fact that the organization was hitherto unknown has aroused suspicions. “It doesn’t seem like a lot of these[separatist] organizations are very familiar with them, and some even feel that this organization seems to have a very suspicious background,” Professor Eliza Lee, head of the Politics and Public Administration Department at Hong Kong University, told TIME. ) c7 _. s( Q. b+ o2 rTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。- D* [& A) d$ ^
Jon Ho of separatist group Hong Kong Localism Power, told a local radio station Tuesday that the legitimacy of the “National Independent Party” was questionable, the Post reported. & E0 a s$ S+ L: C) N0 l ' C- P6 t3 T. b! mSome Hong Kongers on social media pointed out linguistic inconsistencies between the language of propaganda material police claim to have seized from the “National Independent Party” and words that would have actually been used by bona fide separatist groups, while others pointedly asked why a separatist group would have the word National in its name.7 P9 i3 Y. I, V" X' N: @; H+ X) p
6 `; j* W: L2 ]' t* v- E公仔箱論壇Other separatist figures stressed their commitment to nonviolence. Ray Wong, leader of separatist group Hong Kong Indigenous, told the Post that the arrests were a smear campaign, while Danny Chan, head of the separatist Hong Kong Blue Righteous Revolt, said he did not support violence. # B4 K/ e, G, U, {, Rtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, U+ j2 }( E2 B' H& p
“It would be unfair to say that the localists have a stronger tendency to be violent, and in fact if you look at the[pro-democracy] movement as a whole it was rather peaceful,” Lee says. ) Y& N% T( w0 m; ]1 R& y公仔箱論壇 ( F& N5 O) a' o4 ^5 W) E公仔箱論壇Steve Vickers, the former head of the Hong Kong Police Criminal Intelligence Bureau and now a security analyst, says, “The timing of the arrests is obviously of special interest, especially in this politically charged time, before the forthcoming [legislative] vote.”9 s: o6 z( q4 U3 l1 v; ]
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He also tells TIME via email that “in the absence of a chemical analysis of the seized [bomb making] items it is difficult to be specific” on the nature of the threat they posed.
