# ]* |# `+ |7 Z5 o 7 c3 p2 Y0 g/ ]7 H3 X* `武漢的瘋狂建設9 P' F) t4 Z' A h
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。3 v8 |! L7 W+ b, d! S* @6 c$ D6 H
Peston在文章舉出了多個大陸瘋狂建設的現象。在他採訪的武漢，市長唐良智表示要在5年內花費2千億英鎊，建設地鐵、機場、摩天大樓、高科技商業區等、目標是令武漢成為一個「世界特大城市」，規模足以挑戰上海。Peston表示不只在武漢，中國各大小城市在過去幾年間都有類似的建設浪潮，規模「令人難以置信」，但是這種發展既不平衡，亦不持續。 % p/ r. Q) E' X/ D3 K- E; \公仔箱論壇 - P3 E: c! F9 Z! c7 E0 _ : N1 ?+ q: n# \" Btvb now,tvbnow,bttvb複製銀行業規模公仔箱論壇1 @& T4 N! K( z' Y' V2 V
! ~ B8 [# p2 W$ B% t6 @tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbPeston亦提出了多個令人咋舌的數據指標，例如大陸在金融海嘯後出現大量基建，令大陸的投資總額飆升到佔全國GDP一半，比重比大多數已發展經濟體多3至4倍，亦超越日本在上世紀後期經濟起飛時的數字。另外，中國的債務年增長率約15%，結果債務佔GDP比率由2008年約125%，已急升至目前的200%。惠譽公司的分析員Charlene Chu亦表示，2008年的大陸銀行業規模只有10萬億美元，但現時已高達24至25萬億美元：公仔箱論壇) h( F6 i: G# Q% D p1 r: Y
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這14萬億到15萬億美元的增長相當於整個美國商業銀行界的規模，而美國達到這一規模是花了一個多世紀的時間。換言之，中國在短短的五年時間裏複製了美國的整個商業銀行系統。 - c/ [5 e. m! N5.39.217.77:88985.39.217.77:8898% [8 I r6 n C) V. D. g
在接近文末，Peston說債務推動的大陸經濟現時面臨兩個結果，一個是政府臨崖勒馬，重新以真實內需帶動經濟增長，此舉會令經濟增長率降低至4%，但可以避免泡沫爆破；另一個是繼續維持現有模式，最後出現席捲全國以至全世界的經濟崩潰。不過一名和北京有密切聯繫的著名投資者CharlesLiu表示，即使政府採取前者做法，4%的增長卻未必能滿足人民對就業機會和更佳生活的渴望，政府亦未必有足夠能力防止不斷發生的抗議和騷亂。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb8 i( b4 r3 k+ S4 d. \
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中文版譯文缺少作者批評tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb9 w3 i- P3 P5 v
# q" g2 q0 ]7 V6 D) Y公仔箱論壇Anyone living in the rich West does not need a lecture on the perils of a financial system that creates too much credit too quickly. And in China's case, as was dangerously true in ours, a good deal of the debt is hidden, in specially created, opaque and largely financial institutions which we've come to call"shadow" banks. ' W- I! D7 Z8 [7 q8 g7 E" F公仔箱論壇 * U) ~0 v# G7 t/ @/ [; p/ ` RThere are no exceptions to the lessons of financial history: lending at that rate leads to debtors unable to meet their obligations, and to large losses for creditors; the question is not whether this will happen but when, and on what scale. + d% j9 H' \4 Y* Z( a! J9 \" h- |tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb6 _4 s- U' f+ Z* d3 {6 I4 l
Which is why we've seen a couple of episodes of stress and tension in China's banking markets over the past nine months, as a possible augury of worse to come.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。& D% r( m& l% ^" e( k3 ?, ~
2 Q8 `) S6 L" i, L' X! \TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。在英文版文章的最後5段，亦沒有在中文譯文中譯出。Peston在文章結尾時表示，從事傳媒多年的他，當中遇見最大的故事就是中國崛起，而這個「飢餓」和「增長迅速」的中國仍塑造了現時各人的生活，不過這對大家而言並非完全有益。5.39.217.77:88982 H; Z, h Q# E! t
/ `# e6 H: }( g7 V' m, ?" ]5.39.217.77:8898The biggest story of my career has been the rise and rise of China. Hungry,fast-growing China has shaped our lives, sometimes but not always to our benefit.公仔箱論壇- N% u. y+ \( T6 E
: P. z/ z, P. Q4 V. qtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbIt boosted our living standards, by selling us all those material things we simply had to have, cheaper and cheaper. But its exporters killed many of our manufacturers. And the financial surpluses it generated translated into our dangerous deficits, the secular and risky rise of indebtedness in much of the West.5.39.217.77:8898( U& L p" }- \) ~8 b! q
6 }- i. X [0 z: M1 uAlso its appetite has led to huge increases in the price we all pay for food, for energy, for commodities. What's more, China's influence in Asia and Africa has profoundly shifted the global balance of power.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。" s: D! w! Q- o% H! t0 ^
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So would an economically weakened China be good for us in the West? Well, it wouldn't necessarily be all bad. ! G* B K5 K4 {! F9 ^tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5.39.217.77:88987 B/ {' v. U5 c6 z, j
But a China suddenly incapable of providing the rising living standards its people now see as their destiny would be less confident, less stable, and - perhaps for the world - more dangerous. & X) V2 {# K- z) ?6 S/ V 2 Z) i% X3 s- |7 }7 ltvb now,tvbnow,bttvbRobert Peston :Will China shake the world again? , @) S' z, r$ `# @% r8 xTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 * R- R; I2 L8 a5.39.217.77:8898TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。. P: ]; m* a0 M& F
