Second Take: Round Two Playoff Predictions
季候赛第二轮各队交锋预测
The first round was full of excitement, but there weren't any upsets in the East. In the West, the Jazz and Spurs pulled out some upsets, and there were some great games. The second round is where it starts to get competitive, though.
Note: With the exception of the Magic-Hawks (which couldn't be done until Atlanta won its first round series Sunday night) all predictions were made before the second round began.
季候赛第一轮充满了惊喜和激情，不过东部的情况可是顺风顺水。而西部则完全是另一番景象，爵士和马刺完成了黑5和黑7，其中也不乏精彩的比赛。而第二轮也将继续充满这种竞争。
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No. 1 Cleveland Cavaliers vs. No. 4 Boston Celtics
No.1 骑士 VS No.4 凯尔特人
These teams don't like each other. This could very well end up being the best series until the Finals.
Both of these teams are very capable of winning it all, and the Cavaliers are hungry for a championship. The Celtics had a sub-par regular season, while the Cavs were the league's best team.
Boston wins if: It can find its old form. Just because the Celtics beat the Heat in five games, I'm still not convinced that they are a dominant team again. This is going to be a tough series for them, and they will need Ray Allen and Paul Pierce to step up. Defense will be key.
Cleveland wins if: It continues to play good basketball. LeBron James has to fight through his injuries and keep playing at a high level, and will need his teammates to step up in order to advance.
这两支球队的对抗有别于其他球队。这也将是总决赛前最精彩的一轮战斗。
两队都有足够的竞争力，而骑士对总冠军的饥渴无疑更加强烈。凯尔特人的常规赛表现不是很突出，骑士则为全联盟冠军。
凯尔特人取胜之匙：他们可以继续执行之前的战术，因为第一轮他们5场内淘汰了热火。不过我对他们现在的状态不是很有信心。对凯尔特人来说，这将是极其艰难的一轮考验。他们需要阿伦和皮尔斯的发挥。同时，防守也是他们取胜的关键。
旭旭：凯尔特人的年龄老化是他们最需要克服的一个难点。如何协调好KG，皮尔斯，阿伦的攻击是重中之重。其中阿伦的三分球将是一件利器，凯尔特人需要给阿伦多制定无球跑动战术并及时送出传球，接下来，就是皮球刷网而过喜悦之声。防守方面，其实他们要做的就是限制好詹姆斯，法宝已经是众人皆知了，尽量不让他突破，不要让他左手上篮，做到一个信念：如果詹姆斯大帝能用跳投投死我，那我就任了。至于球队其他的某某某，只要詹姆斯发挥一般，他们就只能零星碎打，决定不了比赛的走势。
骑士取胜之匙：继续打出漂亮篮球。詹姆斯需要克服伤病的困扰并继续打出高水平，而他的队友们也得站出来给他提供有力的支持。
旭旭：骑士想要取胜，詹姆斯必须打出常规赛那般的MVP水准，不仅自己要得分，也要把全队串联起来。贾米森攻击力强大，可惜在防守端他基本是无脑球员，瓦莱乔防守不错，可在进攻端却是毫无手段，骑士要如何协调这个点，布朗将面临极大的考验。小莫的三分球也将是骑士的法宝，不过此兄稳定性一般。如果骑士能打出漂亮的团队篮球，在加上主场的优势，淘汰凯尔特人将有很大的胜算。
Prediction: Don't look for the Cavs to cut the C's any slack. Cleveland in five.
比分预测：不要奢望骑士会给凯尔特人机会。骑士4：1凯尔特人。
旭旭：由于今天的比赛刚结束，双方现在为1：1平。詹姆斯的伤病将成为系列赛的X因素。如果他能即使的调整会状态，比赛也将向有利于骑士的方向发展。预测 骑士4：2凯尔特人。
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No. 2 Orlando Magic vs. No. 3 Atlanta Hawks
No.2 魔术 VS No.3 老鹰
The Atlanta Hawks got a bit of a scare against the Milwaukee Bucks, but they managed to take care of business and beat them in seven games.
The Magic were the only team to sweep in round one, even with a struggling Dwight Howard.
Atlanta wins if: It can limit Howard and slow down Orlando's perimeter game. The Hawks have to get out and run, and score as many fast break points as they can. They will need better production of out Joe Johnson.
Orlando wins if: They do what they are supposed to. Orlando is the favorite to win this series, and they are the flat-out better team. They have to expose the Hawks defensively and Howard has to get rolling.
老鹰被雄鹿惊出了一身冷汗，不过毕竟他们实力要高出一筹，抢七大战他们轻松的击败雄鹿。
魔术是第一轮唯一完成横扫的球队，即使他们的当家球星霍华德表现一般。
老鹰取胜之匙：限制霍华德，扰乱魔术的整体节奏。老鹰要做的是能跑多快跑多快，竟可能的多的快攻得分。当然，他们需要约翰逊的领袖表现。
旭旭：老鹰第一轮的表现让人大跌眼镜，他们的状态是否够好值得怀疑。作为一只依靠身体的球队，他们必须打出侵略性，魔兽基本无解，防守好魔术的三分球是他们能坚持多久的关键。约翰逊是时候发挥出他的领袖作用了，让老鹰飞起来或许他们有一定的机会。
魔术取胜之匙：他们只需打出本身的实力即可。魔术极有可能拿下此轮系列赛，他们是内外线结合最平衡的球队。尽力防守，霍华德打出正常水平。
旭旭：魔术需要把内外线结合好，即使霍华德状态一般，他也只需在防守端做好功课即可。外线的三分火力是他们克敌的法宝，发挥正常水平，东部决赛已经向他们挥手了。
Prediction: Despite being two of the best teams in the East, don't expect this to get too close. Orlando in six.
比分预测：尽管魔术是东部最好的两支球队之一，两队的差距也不可能过大。魔术6场解决战斗。
旭旭：其实这是半决赛悬念相对最小的一轮争夺，魔术只要发挥正常的三分水平就毫无悬念。魔术4：1老鹰。
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No. 1 Los Angeles Lakers vs. No. 5 Utah Jazz
No. 1 湖人VS No.5 爵士
For both of these teams, this round will be harder than the conference finals. No disrespect to Phoenix and San Antonio, but these are the best teams left in the wild West.
Deron Williams is the best point guard in the league, Carlos Boozer is motivated, and the Jazz are getting back Andrei Kirilenko. They are playing great basketball, but can they give the Lakers a run for their money?
Maybe.
Utah wins if: It can somehow outmatch the Lakers front court. Stopping, or at least limiting, Kobe Bryant will be huge, and Utah's bench will have to outplay the Lakers' bench. Offensively, Williams needs to continue to step up, and Boozer has to provide some help.
Los Angeles wins if: It plays as a team. They have the most talented roster in the league, so they just have to play together, and outmatch the Jazz. Bryant needs to get going, and the Lakers' D will have to slow down Williams.
对两支球队来说，这将会是比西部决赛更困难的一轮对决。这不是对太阳和马刺的不尊重，而湖人和爵士确实是现在西部留下的最好的球队。
德隆是联盟最好的组织后卫，而布泽尔是最激情的大前锋；基里连科也会在系列赛中回归。他们会打出不错的配合，可是面对“奢侈”的湖人他们抵抗的住吗？或许把...
爵士取胜之匙：湖人前场组合。爵士需要尽最大努力限制他们的发挥；科比将会再一次无解，不过爵士的板凳将会高出湖人板凳一筹。在进攻端，德隆需要继续打出强大表现，布泽尔则需要给他提供帮助。
旭旭：由于爵士的伤病问题，现在，他们面对湖人唯一的优势就是德隆。德隆需尽力打出首轮的超级表现，他和布泽尔的挡拆依然是湖人头疼的问题。由于湖人替补太过萎靡，爵士需要在阵容轮换时尽量打出气势以给湖人压力。
湖人取胜之匙：打出团队篮球。他们拥有全联盟最具天赋的一帮球员，所以他们只要精诚合作将无坚不摧。科比需要打出水平，湖人也要想办法限制德隆的速度。
旭旭：湖人让人担心的原因就是他们的不专注和替补。虽然拜纳姆受了小伤，但前场组合依然是他们最大的优势，枷锁的全能让布泽尔无所适从。科比的发挥也是重中之重，G1正是大婶末端的强力发挥使湖人取得了开门红。替补将困扰湖人这一整季，也许只能期待他们顶的住轮换时间了...德隆是湖人唯一需要担心的，其实每支球队面对湖人，老鱼都是劣势的一个点。阿泰防守德隆效果显然一般，科比和布朗应该担起这个重任。总的来说，湖人的优势是巨大的，只要保持专注，进入西区决赛应该是顺理成章。
Prediction: Utah is still one piece away from a title. Lakers in six.
比分预测：爵士终究是差了湖人一个档次。湖人4：2爵士。
旭旭：拿下前两站应该不成问题，爵士的主场是湖人的难题。顶得住爵士球迷的山呼海啸，湖人将4：1拿下。倘若客场失守，4：2。
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No. 3 Phoenix Suns vs. No.7 San Antonio Spurs
No.3 太阳 VS No.7 马刺
The Spurs pulled off an upset, taking down Dallas in six games. They are hungry, and seem to be playing like they were a few years back. They will be tough to beat.
The Suns just might have one more run left. Steve Nash is aging, and Amar'e Stoudemire could be leaving. This could be the Suns' last legit chance at a title for a while. We'll see if they make the most of it.
San Antonio wins if: It slows down the Suns' run-and-gun tempo. Many consider the Spurs a favorite for this series, and they certainly have a chance to win it. Tim Duncan will be a huge factor, and Manu Ginobili must continue his spectacular play.
Phoenix wins if: It can outgun the Spurs. It needs to make them run, as the Spurs are old. The Suns are fast. If they outrun them, they can create chaos. The Suns will have to show up and play some defense if they want to earn a trip to the Western Conference Finals.
马刺完成了黑7，4：2淘汰了补强的小牛。他们正饥渴，看起来他们要打回几年前的样子了。他们将很难被击败。
太阳满场飞奔打法的优势或许也不多了。纳什老了，小斯也基本要离队了。这很有可能是太阳争取总冠军的最后一次机会了。我们将期待他们会付出多少努力。
马刺取胜之匙：限速，限制太阳的疯跑战术。马刺被很多人认为将会是这轮系列赛取胜的一方，当然他们有足够实力进入西部决赛。邓肯将会是这轮比赛最大的X因素，吉诺比利也需要打出他的特别篮球。
旭旭：邓肯已不复当年之勇，所以马刺主要是依靠外围帕克和吉诺比利打开局面，邓肯再在内线进行攻击。防守端他们要做的就是限制太阳的快速打法，也就是限制纳什，在这点帕克将不吃亏。如果太阳没有他们的组织核心，全队的攻击体系也就无从谈起了。
太阳取胜之匙：让马刺跟随自己的节奏。由于马刺年龄结构偏大，所以太阳要竟可能让马刺跟着他们跑起来。这时他们就有机会打出漂亮的传切配合。如果要想进西部决赛，太阳就必须在防守方面有所表现，如若不然，炮轰的常规赛打法是不能在季候赛取胜的。
旭旭：太阳的取胜秘诀是众人皆知了，纳什打得好，球队跑起来就有赢球的希望，反之，马刺将占很大的优势。这就太依靠纳什的发挥了，只要他能把全队串联起来，跑起来，太阳将给马刺带来很大的麻烦。防守一直是太阳的软肋，限制马刺外线双刀将是他们成功的关键。
Prediction: This should be a good one. Phoenix in Seven.
比分预测：这将是合理的比分 太阳4：3马刺。
旭旭：由于太阳拥有主场优势，马刺的阵容也相对老化，故太阳4：3马刺。
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發表於 2010-5-5 06:06 AM
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