- e* F$ C0 C) I$ ^; G: n公仔箱論壇據「烏克蘭天然資源委員會」主席魯高（G. Rudko）對《與熊共舞》（Dances with the Bears, Johnhelmer.net）透露，該國「待開發」的能源蘊藏，主要集中在「烏東」和在克里米亞海岸線二百哩範圍內的黑海（直至周日公投前為烏克蘭經濟特區〔exclusive Economic Zone of Ukraine〕），後者如今已間接落入俄羅斯之手；「烏東」正是近鄰俄羅斯垂涎欲得之地（藉口區內俄裔受基輔政府迫害，而製造混亂，甚至有可能出兵佔領；有此隱憂，烏克蘭已徵召四萬多後備軍人），看魯高提供的地圖，「烏東」的油、氣田密密麻麻，經濟前景應該不錯，惟開發能源有待大量投資；而克里米亞岸外的能源蘊藏，「佔烏克蘭未開發能源三分之一、已開發的五分之一」，看來俄羅斯肯定有所得着。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb0 t( C1 f" b7 E5 b5 g# Q. u
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路透社昨天消息，公投後克里米亞政府第一件要做的工作是把境內原屬烏克蘭政府所有的油、氣企業Chernomorneftegaz賣給世界最大規模的「俄羅斯天然氣工業股份公司」（Gazprom），國營的「天然氣工業」，是烏克蘭和歐洲多國的主要煤氣供應商，那意味俄羅斯手中「經濟牌」的份量愈大，其與西方國家政治討價還價的力量亦相應大增。 $ K+ t8 u Z. A1 M: X0 A; c) J( p* H公仔箱論壇' N" C$ k6 ?( f! Q
7 s' ]* X; {. V; C2 D1 C* `5.39.217.77:8898三、有論者認為俄羅斯吞併克里米亞，在經濟上得不償失（這是一場所謂pyrrhic victory），而克里米亞經濟依賴基輔的「補貼」甚深，從今以後，莫斯科要承擔此「額外負擔」；不過，這種評估在克里米亞把烏克蘭國營能源企業據為己有之前，於今形勢大變；加上近岸煤氣田投產有期，克里米亞的經濟狀況相信不會太差。對於近百年來受盡俄人折磨信奉回教的韃靼人，三、四十年代史太林把他們流放至西伯利亞及其他加盟共和國，九十年代蘇聯解體後他們陸續重歸故土，哪知現在又落入俄人掌握，他們在克里米亞也許無力造反，惟在北高加索（莫斯科稱該區為「化外之地」〔Internal abroad〕）的同胞，尤其那些加入回教激進組織的，肯定會成為莫斯科的心腹大患。然而，對於氣焰甚盛有翻生沙皇之概的普京來說，那也許只是癬疥之疾！ ' U2 h# \/ J9 Y" Z公仔箱論壇 . e. K7 J4 \7 y. g不少論者認為因為焦岩氣油大增及墨西哥灣發現重大氣油田，美國應考慮對歐洲各國供應能源，如此她們可免受俄國控制，在外交上便有「硬起來」的本錢。此說頭頭是道，卻是書生之見，實際上不可行。因為美國的能源公司皆屬私營，近年產量增加有意出口，但由於缺乏供液體煤氣出口的碼頭，因此遲遲未能成事；即使克服這種「技術問題」（美國第一個液體煤氣出口碼頭位於SabinePass，明年底啟用），美國天然氣價格較高，甚難引起歐洲買家興趣；從另一角度看，美國天然氣「援歐」，極可能扯高國內價格，美國民選政客又怎能同意！ * s& ~' f0 \5 r/ t 7 J; i/ x0 [+ X9 a: P/ p無論如何，能源是不可能成為「新冷戰」工具的—「舊冷戰」所以東西兩大陣營對峙數十年仍「打」不起來，皆因核彈所有權是國家而非企業，前者可以不問成本，集中全國資源增加彈頭，威懾對手；後者必須斤斤計較效益，要以之作為冷戰工具，不可行。5 G+ j! }/ S2 ^; t9 L' B
) `$ u+ z- h" c& FBobo Lo: Crimea’s Sudeten Crisis # R% h! v; `2 C% o/ K# W; Q, @8 S ' `- b. i/ \9 t1 t1 A 3 [. q! k+ q# J; {0 C. Jtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 ~8 Y" J7 _, _6 @ z
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LONDON – With Crimea voting for secession,the upheaval in Ukraine is fueling an increasingly charged atmosphere between Russia and the tandem of the United States and the European Union. Are American and European leaders being cast in a Russian remake of the 1938 Sudeten crisis?! f1 K. l0 _& J4 m1 z
0 i/ P7 X- T- |Immediately after Nazi Germany’s annexation of Austria, Adolf Hitler turned his attention to the ethnic Germans living in Czechoslovakia’s Sudetenland. First, he demanded the Sudetenland’s cession to Germany, gaining relatively easy agreement from British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain and his French counterpart Édouard Daladier. - V; s" H1 H5 q( y# K7 \5.39.217.77:8898: J* K# s- D1 ]
Hitler then immediately raised his demands to include German military occupation of the area. Deeming the issue “a quarrel in a faraway country between people of whom we know nothing,” and thus not worth defying Hitler over, Chamberlain and Daladier accepted the occupation by signing the Munich Agreement. In doing so, they strengthened Germany considerably and emboldened Hitler – with catastrophic consequences.5.39.217.77:8898% r( `, D8 o; ]1 D/ _$ s
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To be sure, Russian President Vladimir Putin is not Hitler, Russia is not Nazi Germany (or the Soviet Union, for that matter), and the world does not face the same apocalyptic scenario that unfolded in 1939. Nonetheless, there are some important parallels between the Sudeten and Crimean crises.5.39.217.77:88988 V5 w9 ?. i. |# @, a
. G! q8 N8 @. g& Y5 E/ vtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbThe most obvious is the presence of an expatriate majority in the occupied area. Russians comprise nearly 60% of Crimea’s two million inhabitants, and many are more closely connected to their “mother” country than to Ukraine. Likewise,the three million Sudeten Germans felt much greater loyalty to Germany than to Czechoslovakia, and an overwhelming majority embraced their incorporation into the Third Reich. " F9 b7 s+ R4 E! E3 A5.39.217.77:88985.39.217.77:8898 N1 `/ M4 j5 r" S+ Q
Indeed, Putin’s pretext for occupation and annexation – to protect the local population – is the same as Hitler’s. Until recently, Putin showed little interest in Crimean affairs, beyond renewing the lease on the Black Sea Fleet’s base in Sevastopol. But, since the Ukrainian revolution, the local Russian population’s alleged vulnerability to “fascists”has become an emblematic issue – and an excuse for Russian military intervention. Hitler employed a similar pretext in demanding the Sudetenland’s transfer from Czechoslovakia. 3 J/ g5 r+ D1 w6 j. }2 U2 o8 l公仔箱論壇 2 [$ O9 a5 {5 m& i% Btvb now,tvbnow,bttvbPutin has something else in common with Hitler: the view that the country he is occupying is somehow “unnatural.”Although Putin has not formally challenged Ukraine’s independence, he has never hidden his view that it is not a “real country,” referring to it as part of the“Russian world.” Similarly, for Hitler, Czechoslovakia was an unnatural conglomeration of disparate nations and regions.% y0 B6 u/ h V9 }
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Hitler sought to destroy Czechoslovakia. Six months after hiving off the Sudetenland, he abrogated the Munich Agreement by occupying all of Bohemia and Moravia and turning the Czech lands into a German protectorate, while installing a puppet regime in a nominally independent Slovakia. If Putin has similar designs, he would begin with Crimea’s annexation– now seemingly a done deal – followed by a direct military presence in eastern Ukraine (where Russian troops are massing at the border), and possibly some kind of partition in the longer term.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5 T0 O6 }( x H$ w
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Of course, like Hitler, Putin is not concerned only – or even especially – with the occupied area. Instead, he is seeking to project power farther afield. Putin has long used national resurgence – in particular, the idea of Russia as an independent global actor with its own “world” – to legitimize his rule. According to this vision,Ukraine must be strategically aligned with Russia, and its sovereignty must be limited. ( C$ B! p5 b+ U- n/ ]- X5.39.217.77:8898tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb) }0 m# X/ s# R# f" x5 j0 t
For his part, Hitler considered an independent, democratic Czechoslovakia to be a security threat, while eyeing its considerable industrial assets. But the Sudetenland’s annexation was, first and foremost, aimed at helping to restore Germany’s “great power” status. 4 P% j2 W2 L0 B( p' K5.39.217.77:88985.39.217.77:8898- Y3 J8 N% {2 Y+ U
There are also striking similarities between Western leaders’ responses to the two crises – namely, their reluctance to take decisive action. Indeed, they seem unwilling to back up their warnings of“costs” and “consequences” with meaningful measures like asset freezes, trade sanctions, and travel restrictions – reinforcing Putin’s belief that they will continue to choose their relationships with Russia over protecting Ukraine’s territorial integrity. This timidity recalls British and French policy in 1938,when the Sudetenland – and later Czechoslovakia – was sacrificed for a short-lived “peace in our time.” + V% ?1 U- o! u) ]+ T" m; L# V- {tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5.39.217.77:8898$ N! Q0 F. T5 M& X
What lessons can be drawn from the comparison between the Crimean and Sudeten crises? First, any dialogue with Putin will be fruitless, unless Western leaders take a decisive approach that is shaped by concrete objectives, not bogus “strategic partnerships.” Conversely,name-calling – like US President Barack Obama’s accusation that Russia is “on the wrong side of history” – is pointless. ) R8 c& R. v6 n5 Otvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5.39.217.77:8898# ]0 i, `9 R9 k
The West should stop reacting to Putin with“shock and awe” – shock that he can act with such seeming impunity, and awe at his perceived tactical brilliance. Europe and the US have vastly greater influence and resources than Russia, with its atrophied political system and exhausted economic model. What they lack is the willingness to accept the economic and political costs of defending the values that they claim to uphold.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb3 \$ e3 N2 }1 B3 U
5 ]5 v t% Q' u+ x& W" ttvb now,tvbnow,bttvbFinally, Western leaders must recognize that appeasement cannot ensure peace and stability in Europe – not even under the fig leaf of “engagement.” When dealing with a leader whose credo is defined by the notion that “the weak get beaten,” Western governments must demonstrate their resolve, without sacrificing flexibility. Only on this basis can the crisis in Ukraine be addressed without fundamentally compromising transatlantic security.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb# F; Y4 Q5 w) x3 j9 y) L
4 g1 w' H: v# [8 k公仔箱論壇Bobo Lo is a specialist in Russian foreign policy at Chatham House " u E$ }& p* M/ O9 q1 l% RTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 / l4 T9 r$ v$ @8 `, Otvb now,tvbnow,bttvbtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb0 |4 ?* d- c% h- D( f7 ~! j
Hitler and Chamberlain: The Munich Crisis 1938公仔箱論壇9 ^2 A, m# _9 [, }4 b
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本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-3-19 10:40 AM 編輯 & w8 }6 j6 U2 Z8 w. Q) w1 G公仔箱論壇 7 z+ |9 H G) Z3 G! X9 O( KThe Economist explainsTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: V5 X1 r* j! Y9 c; l% v
+ I h, U( ` F, y- J' tTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。What the original Crimean war was all about5.39.217.77:8898/ B5 N* G6 @9 w, o" W) ^8 v/ H" o
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TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, N' J" ]4 {, D* \+ y
ON MARCH 16th Crimeans voted in a deeply flawed referendum to secede from Ukraine and join Russia. The crisis on the peninsula has pitted Russia against America and the EU, in the worst diplomatic spat in Europe since the cold war. But it is not the first time that Crimea, on the edge of the Black Sea, has been contested by Russia and the West. On March28th 1854—160 years ago this month—Britain, the superpower of the day,declared war on Russia. The resulting conflict was mainly fought in Crimea as British forces and their allies laid siege to the main Russian naval base in the Black Sea at Sebastopol. What was the original Crimean war all about? 5 ]" R" Y# c* @9 [% c " x% x9 L& V* R/ o& o5 Y5 d公仔箱論壇It began against a backdrop of Russian expansionism as the Ottoman Empire declined. The spark was a religious dispute over who should be the guardian of the Ottoman Empire’s Christian minority,especially in the Holy Land: Orthodox Russia or Catholic France. Napoleon III sent his best ship, Charlemagne, to the Black Sea to defend France’s claim. That, together with aggressive diplomatic and financial inducements, sharpened the minds of Ottoman leaders, who declared in favour of France.Russia responded by invading the Ottoman-controlled territories of Moldavia and Wallachia (roughly, parts of modern day Moldova and Romania) and sinking the Ottoman fleet at the Battle of Sinope in 1853. That inflamed public opinion in Britain and France, which feared that Russian domination in the Black Sea region would threaten their trade routes to India via Egypt and the eastern Mediterranean. After some diplomatic dithering, which misled Russia into believing that it could continue its aggression against the Ottomans without consequences, Britain and France declared war in March 1854. The Kingdom of Sardinia-Piedmont (which later became Italy) joined in the war against Russia the next year.5.39.217.77:8898, T$ r! r0 u: ?' S) m- J
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Although Britain and its allies eventually won the war in 1856, the conflict was disastrously planned and poorly executed.Invasion fleets from Britain and France set off ill-prepared; military planning was so bad that their commanders had not yet decided which part of the Black Sea they were heading for. When they landed in Crimea, military disasters followed, including the famous charge of the light brigade, in which vulnerable British cavalry attacked Russian artillery head-on during the Battle of Balaclava. Support services such as care for the wounded were disorganised. Four times as many British soldiers died of disease during the conflict as in combat. In the end, it took a year-long siege to take the naval base at Sebastopol. , T. ~! _# J/ @5 l# ~5.39.217.77:8898TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。' n; m& s) J4 |* K6 W3 Z! c8 E
Historians blame the mistakes that led to the war on a lack of strategic planning, in diplomatic or military terms, on the part of Britain and France. Similar accusations have been levied at the cautious steps taken so far by America and the EU. But although some commentators have attempted to draw comparisons between that conflict and the current crisis in the Crimea, this time it does not yet look as if things are going the same way. Modern America and 19th-century Britain, though the dominant superpowers of their days, are worlds apart in terms of diplomatic strategy. But few, even in the 1850s, would have thought Russia and the West would still be contesting the same small peninsula of land a century and a half later. If history does not repeat itself, it has a strange way of rhyming.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, X8 |8 w; H3 ~7 G
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6 `) x1 e, x$ E; }烏克蘭示威少女：請支持我們，廣傳我們的故事TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。" w8 Z4 V2 J# F0 V
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We want to be free from a dictatorship. We want to be free from the politicians who work only for themselves, who are ready to shoot, to beat, to injure people, just for saving their money, just for saving their houses, just to saving their power.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。/ ~7 \5 [* e) j, e* S8 K5 k* ~8 v
2 D% L+ t1 i4 SWe are civilized people, but our government are barbarians. That's not a soviet union. We want our courts not to be corrupted. We want to be free. : l2 a- l/ v T/ [$ t! ~7 T" Z 0 W6 T$ ?6 ]+ ^! q, j+ l( K! PTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。
I am a Ukrainian, the native of Kiev. And now I am on Maidan, on the central part of my city. I want you to know why thousands of people all over my country are on the streets. There is only one reason: We want to be free from a dictatorship. We want to be free from the politicians who work only for themselves, who are ready to shoot, to beat, to injure people, just for saving their money, just for saving their houses, just to saving their power. ) X8 c. h4 o7 U1 o+ p* a: h4 R% X 7 W" b, l* E: s( q: F7 z公仔箱論壇I want these people who are here, who have dignity, who are brave, I want them to lead a normal life. We are civilized people, but our government are barbarians. That's not a soviet union. We want our courts not to be corrupted. We want to be free. . l" @8 s! W9 e3 w 9 Z) Y% o' j+ R! {/ z5.39.217.77:8898I know that maybe tomorrow we'll have no phone, no internet connection, and we will be alone here. And maybe police men will murder us, one after another, when it will be dark here.7 C. S2 x6 Y a9 i) W
* f5 K7 O' h. H& t& B$ ]That's why I ask you now to help us. We have this freedom inside our hearts. We have this freedom in our minds. And now I ask you to build this freedom in our country. 2 g ?8 X, [1 N$ F6 s
$ i. n, V" e0 w+ U1 }8 u公仔箱論壇You can help us only by telling this story to your friends, only by sharing this video. Please share, share it. Speak to your friends, speak to your family, speak to your government, and show that you support us.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。0 ^6 }4 f; k1 t9 V$ L5 c9 Z
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-3-20 11:45 PM 編輯 tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb* X `3 l6 z. c3 u" C
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8 h( @; l; B5 ?' T9 K+ c( r, @公仔箱論壇烏克蘭基輔的安全和防務負責人帕魯比說，烏克蘭正在制定計劃從克里米亞將烏克蘭的士兵及其家屬撤走。帕魯比說他們希望「盡快有效」地將他們從克里米亞半島撤回烏克蘭大陸。 + f% d' S" j3 _ UTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 2 B5 ?$ B. a% S. I) Y4 e/ i
早前親俄的武裝力量佔據了克里米亞的兩個海軍基地，包括烏克蘭海軍的總部。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb* e ]. z" N- y
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帕魯比在新聞發佈會上說明了基輔對克里米亞形勢發展的態度。他說，「我們制定了一個計劃，這樣我們不僅能夠撤出我們在克里米亞的軍人，而且還能撤出他們的家屬，使他們能夠盡快有效地到達烏克蘭大陸」。他還說正在制定有關措施，開始要求到烏克蘭旅行的俄羅斯人持有簽證。 1 P0 n$ Q* J$ c% U* q& i! J4 Y公仔箱論壇 TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。& u: r+ E. G6 P9 R3 q
基輔也在尋求聯合國的支持，「宣佈克里米亞為非軍事區」。這將意味俄國從克里米亞撤離其部隊、烏克蘭將其軍隊撤回烏克蘭大陸以及「使那些不願留在被佔領土的平民從那裏撤出」。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb' Y d! p8 Y3 R6 F) G
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帕魯比又指，烏克蘭將脫離由莫斯科主導的獨聯體，還凖備同美國和英國舉行軍事演習。 g9 m/ n; H* R% t* \. A+ ~% ? B
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另外，烏克蘭高山滑雪女子運動員Bohdana Matsotska ，為譴責烏克蘭當局「違法」鎮壓，早前宣布退出冬奧，聲援基輔獨立廣場上的示威者。 ) X, {0 M, `- v+ Y% Z! h0 @ 5.39.217.77:8898; ~6 v/ w9 C" ] I. h/ s3 }2 h6 ` y
今天，她在Facebook上貼出自己拿起槍枝的照片，向俄羅斯總統普京發出警告，「我懂得如何使用輕彈氣槍，我可以學習如何使用真正的武器，如果有需要，我會為自己國家的自由而戰，普京，不要用你那雙髒手觸碰烏克蘭！！！」5.39.217.77:8898$ ]( H( R+ ? P( D
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5.39.217.77:88987 g/ X/ V, _6 q) d# z ! B' w @- p& T2 e3 b4 Z5 {TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。- e( R S8 v/ D/ W1 B g# |
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克里米亞「美女」檢察總長波隆斯基：Beauty saves the world！ . f' p: G0 F) I ) S- M+ [! ]! v Z2 W% `$ |& X, d) o; x/ u6 p
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事涉俄羅斯與烏克蘭領土主權爭議，以至隨時觸發美俄關係關張的克里米亞事件，令全球網民至今印象最為深刻的，卻或依然是令不少人眼前一亮的美女檢察tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb v% X" m P( J% ?" T
總長波隆斯基（Natalia Poklonskaya）。大陸官媒「環球網」今日就發表其專訪，還專文報道了她若干「私密」。今年33歲的她除坦言還未結婚外，當被問及不少日本網民已為她著迷時，她雖說未有時間上網了解，卻拋出了「美麗拯救世界！」這金句，可見她對自己外貌都相當有自信。
The Economist : Russia’s annexation of Crimea and the return of history tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb2 ]. e+ P T( g. a% Q+ V- B
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ON MARCH 18th Russia annexed Crimea, marking the first time the country expanded its borders since the cold war. Yet it has form. The 20th century was a period of ever-changing national boundaries,affiliations and spheres of influence. At the start of the second world war,the then Soviet Union’s territory extended into modern-day Belarus and Ukraine,and included Crimea. By war’s end, the entirety of both countries became a part of the USSR, as well as the Baltic states. During the cold war, the iron curtain descended over Eastern Europe—and stayed there until the Soviet Union’s dissolution in 1991. The map of Europe remained unchanged in terms of Russian territory until this month. A quarter-century after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the hungry Russian bear is back. The following five maps show the troubled history of Russia and its neighbours.- y C' ?' s- g
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6 y) d" m$ X `4 Y* z1938: In a period of balance-of-power politics, the Soviet Union’s territory does not extend far westward into Europe. ' C% Y, a& I2 N- s" T: `, |' P1 D5.39.217.77:8898 1 ^& A) l3 _. H3 l( Htvb now,tvbnow,bttvb1945: Following the second world war, the Soviet Union extended its control into modern day Ukraine, Moldova, Belarus and four Baltic states. tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb @/ _& q1 j# o) n3 ^( f( |; \ 2 W$ t+ d% K3 O9 W公仔箱論壇1949-89: During the cold war, the USSR’s sphere of influence extended over Eastern Europe, via the Warsaw Pact countries and a divided Germany. $ W4 L! K7 `8 x; e$ l8 T! a; l $ H8 R4 v- K& J: c. ETVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。1991: After the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 led to the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991, Russia’s territory was smaller than it was before the second world war. : d! }( j2 I, a3 {0 JTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。( J& v- G' x, r) U% X3 H 2014: Russia annexes the Ukrainian region of Crimea, after Russian troops invade and the area votes to secede from Ukraine. The vote and annexation is condemned internationally.3 ]: X& _. m6 T
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-3-21 11:21 PM 編輯 公仔箱論壇( A' K0 |! [3 x6 |( \ J# m: F
. G9 I/ F) j0 G5.39.217.77:8898Adam Michnik: The Russian Godfather / H: y6 }- u Q) `. \$ ]' K6 \TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。) U% S1 v1 w3 o. q* S
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WARSAW – Russian President Vladimir Putin is behaving like a Mafia boss. In invading, occupying, and finally annexing Crimea, he pointed Russia’s guns at Ukraine and said: your territorial sovereignty or your life. So far, extortion has worked – and Putin knows it. - @9 C* ?/ z# e, I$ N1 N公仔箱論壇. B* O& }5 M1 g: R2 G/ m* |: H
Indeed, in his speech announcing the annexation of Crimea, Putin spoke his mind: his regime fears no punishment and will do whatever it pleases. Crimea is just the first step toward realizing his dream of revived Russian greatness.3 \+ V& C. R7 }/ {* G% o$ S
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His address in the Kremlin was a tissue of lies and manipulation, though a subtle analysis would be a waste of time. The simple fact is that the president of one of the world’s most powerful countries has embarked on a path of confrontation with the entire international community. His speech smacked of the fevered, paranoid world of Fyodor Dostoyevsky’s Demons, conjuring as it did a delusional alternative universe – a place that does not exist and has never existed.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。4 I% R# F" }5 g0 _. X9 X2 f
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What does Kosovo, where the Albanians suffered persecution and ethnic cleansing, have in common with the situation in Crimea, whose people have never been oppressed by Ukrainians? What is the point in displaying open contempt for Ukraine’s government, parliament, and people?Why label Ukrainian authorities “fascist and anti-Semitic”? Crimean Tatars pay no heed to the fairy tales about fascists ruling Ukraine; they can still remember the brutal and murderous mass deportations of their parents and grandparents, ordered by Stalin and carried out by the NKVD.! K5 B) p% n6 i* v
W- e7 w% f1 Q) A1 \In Putin’s mind, the whole world has discriminated against Russia for the last three centuries. Russia’s bloody despots – Catherine II, Nicholas I, or Stalin – apparently never discriminated against anyone. ' _) d) Q& T9 V; X8 f: L % {6 c; a4 Y8 v8 A& ntvb now,tvbnow,bttvbPutin also warns that “you and we – the Russians and the Ukrainians – could lose Crimea completely.” Yet he fails to specify who – perhaps Poles and Lithuanians again? – are setting their sights on Sevastopol.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。4 P* ]) @3 l( o4 }
* n* K* N" Y" ^/ n$ ?, u! H( u% ztvb now,tvbnow,bttvbRussia could not, according to Putin, leave the people of Crimea “alone in their predicament.” These words prompt a sad smile; Leonid Brezhnev used precisely the same phrase in August 1968 to justify the Red Army’s intervention in Czechoslovakia to help beleaguered Communist hardliners there crush the Prague Spring reform movement.5.39.217.77:88980 W; u6 m/ q% z/ v, }2 B; `
+ P/ C( `6 \8 l% i" o5 XTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。“We want Ukraine to be a strong, sovereign, and independent country,” says Putin.Stalin said the same thing about Poland in 1945. Brave Russian democrats who have not yet been silenced have already remarked on the similarity between Putin’s appeal to ethnic solidarity in annexing Crimea and Hitler’s stance during the Anschluss and the Sudeten crisis in 1938. ' z" D) g) B: Y9 J6 h8 T9 }3 K公仔箱論壇( ^6 S0 l+ H2 f8 x% x. ~
This is the real end of history – the history of dreams about a world governed by democratic values and the market economy.Unless the democratic world understands that now is not the time for faith in diplomatic compromise, and that it must respond strongly enough to stop Putin’s imperial designs, events could follow a logic that is too dreadful to contemplate.It takes force to stop a thug, not sharp words or cosmetic sanctions.公仔箱論壇- k4 H7 [. t% ?; X ?3 I8 d9 A
: O1 `1 A4 l. i9 h7 _3 }8 j6 ?tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbI commend and take pride in Poland’s prudent and determined policy and the attitude of its public, which do us great credit.But we must recognize that the best quarter-century in the last 400 years of Polish history is about to end before our very eyes. A time of tectonic shifts has begun. We must appreciate what we have managed to achieve – and learn to protect it.5.39.217.77:8898# D, W4 W6 S) R
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Mafia bosses often meet an unhappy fate, and I do not think that Putin will fare much better in the end. Unfortunately, many people are likely to be hurt in the meantime, not least those who now support him. 4 p( ~9 v8 J: f W7 x: w5.39.217.77:88987 q) F+ x, g/ Z1 P- Q4 v1 x* @. F/ E Adam Michnik was one of the leaders of Solidarity and the founding editor of Gazeta Wyborcza.& Z- A2 ~! ]* L! ] w, G' Q. M4 Y
發表於 2014-3-19 09:47 AM
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TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。( J& v- G' x, r) U% X3 H
